Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, down 35 points from 71.5% when the market opened on 10 Mar 2026.
The high was 78% on 20 Mar 2026 and the low 22.5% on 22 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 41%; a month ago, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 37.5% on 24 Mar 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$12.32K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.86K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 181 trades, $2.79K bought Yes and $1.06K bought No.
The largest Yes position is aztecwillnevercooke with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is falsita with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 90.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 1:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 196 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 71.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aztecwillnevercooke | Yes | 2.71K |
| falsita | No | 2.5K |
| tradexplorer | No | 1.01K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereal-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774
| igormig |
| Yes |
| 294.89 |
| USERgm | No | 293.75 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 193.7 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 130.38 |
| rocketman1989 | Yes | 117.91 |
| 2B9S | No | 103.43 |
| b3k | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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