Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 2 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 10 Mar 2026.
The high was 51% on 12 Jul 2026 and the low 4.5% on 28 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.5%; a month ago, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 7.5% on 24 Jun 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.03K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.13K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 74 trades, $63.15 bought Yes and $409.29 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Pointed-Wilderness with 82 shares; the largest No position is SuperTests with 126.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 193 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 13.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SuperTests | No | 126 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 82.02 |
| USERgm | No | 50.54 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereal-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774
| hithitfar |
| Yes |
| 38.12 |
| AJSV | Yes | 24.94 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 20.09 |
| pinner | Yes | 20 |
| sludgelife | No | 10.75 |
| cchhy88 | No | 10 |
| giochi | Yes | 7.14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
