Analytics
Yes is at 4.3%, up 2.2 points from 2.1% when the market opened on 10 Mar 2026.
The high was 34.1% on 16 Jun 2026 and the low 1.2% on 17 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3%; a month ago, 2.8%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 34.1% on 16 Jun 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.98K, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 57 trades, $35.66 bought Yes and $284.77 bought No.
The largest Yes position is liqudotidats with 87 shares; the largest No position is redwheelbarrel with 141. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 1:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 198 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 2.1% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 4.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| redwheelbarrel | No | 140.97 |
| liqudotidats | Yes | 87.44 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | 86.47 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereal-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774
| AJSV | Yes | 68.6 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 31.91 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 29.85 |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 28.34 |
| coti25 | No | 17.4 |
| giochi | Yes | 16.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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