Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 7.5 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 10 Mar 2026.
Across the 201 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 11% on 26 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20%; a month before, 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 52% on 26 Jun 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$417.36 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.15K since listing. The order book holds $561.12, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 94 trades, $183.25 bought Yes and $921.41 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 220 shares; the largest No position is SuperTests with 336. Ten wallets hold 92.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 24.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 23.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SuperTests | No | 335.79 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 219.62 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 119.17 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereal-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| Yes |
| 55 |
| vonhalen | No | 48.46 |
| Tense-Flame-Logo | Yes | 45 |
| explorer221 | No | 42.71 |
| CZ667 | Yes | 30 |
| just-bettor | No | 30 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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