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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | No | 160 | $0.715 | $86.4 | -$28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 16.91 | $0.320 | $5.41 | 2m ago |
 |
| No |
| 100.99 |
| $0.883 |
| $81.75 |
| -$7.46 |
 Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $77.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 86.93 | $0.885 | $71.72 | -$5.26 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 84.91 | $0.845 | $71.33 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? | No | 80 | $0.885 | $67.6 | -$3.2 |
 Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | No | 90 | $0.782 | $67.5 | -$2.9 |
 Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 80 | $0.805 | $62 | -$2.4 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 73.95 | $0.830 | $61.01 | -$0.37 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | No | 68.99 | $0.798 | $54.85 | -$0.19 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 80 | $0.645 | $52.4 | +$0.8 |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? | No | 80 | $0.740 | $46.4 | -$12.8 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 98.42 | $0.510 | $44.78 | -$5.41 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | No | 50 | $0.900 | $44.25 | -$0.75 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 50 | $0.890 | $43.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.560 | $43.2 | -$1.6 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 50 | $0.890 | $42.75 | -$1.75 |
 Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $41.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | No | 50 | $0.850 | $41.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.850 | $41.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | No | 80 | $0.700 | $41.2 | -$14.8 |
 Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.430 | $41 | -$2 |
 Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $40.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $40.75 | -$1.25 |
 Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.860 | $40.25 | -$2.75 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.330 |
| $16.5 |
| 59m ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.740 | $5.96 | 1h ago |
| Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 1h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | 2h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?No | sell | 30 | $0.740 | $22.2 | 3h ago |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 5h ago |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 5h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 6h ago |
 Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?No | sell | 40 | $0.663 | $26.52 | 9h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 11h ago |
 Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 20.1 | $0.770 | $15.48 | 12h ago |
 Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?No | sell | 6.55 | $0.870 | $5.7 | 14h ago |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 16h ago |
 Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No | sell | 35.54 | $0.467 | $16.6 | 18h ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | 20h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.493 | $7.4 | 20h ago |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 12.14 | $0.870 | $10.56 | 21h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?No | sell | 7.07 | $0.520 | $3.68 | 23h ago |
| Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.790 | $63.2 | 23h ago |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 1d ago |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 30.15 | $0.820 | $24.72 | 1d ago |
 Will Tanya Saari win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?No | sell | 36.08 | $0.850 | $30.67 | 1d ago |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?No | sell | 24.9 | $0.320 | $7.97 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.830 | $6.94 | 1d ago |
 Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?No | sell | 47.56 | $0.700 | $33.29 | 1d ago |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.290 | $7.25 | 1d ago |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?No | sell | 13.85 | $0.910 | $12.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 1d ago |
 Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?No | sell | 12.74 | $0.530 | $6.75 | 1d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 8.44 | $0.740 | $6.25 | 2d ago |
 Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?No | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 2d ago |
| Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?No | sell | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.600 | $3.09 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?No | sell | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 2d ago |
| Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.860 | $4.38 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.710 | $4.52 | 2d ago |
 Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.630 | $3.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?No | sell | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 2d ago |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?No | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 2d ago |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.850 | $38.25 | 2d ago |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes | sell | 14.75 | $0.320 | $4.72 | 2d ago |
 Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 3d ago |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | sell | 14.95 | $0.820 | $12.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No | sell | 87.72 | $0.870 | $76.32 | 3d ago |
 Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 3d ago |