Latest trade
Apr 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:22 AM UTC.
Analytics
ctp is down $2.41 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:22 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from May 1, 2025 UTC to Apr 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $4.02 | -$0.98 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 30.6 | $0.327 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-20 10:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 05:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 05:22 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-20 10:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $72.7 and losing ones cost $19.04 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $19 on “Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2 on “Another US military action against Iran before 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Apr 2026. It has traded 81 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.21 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $0.18 |
| -$4.82 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $5 |
| Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.485 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 UTC |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | sell | 4.47 | $0.986 | $4.41 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Olympique Lyon play in Ligue 1?No | buy | 39.96 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 32.35 | $0.340 | $11 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.140 | $3.8 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 800 | $0.004 | $3.2 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 800 | $0.005 | $4 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.310 | $2.38 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.890 | $1.21 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dorothy Semu win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.940 | $1.16 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.52 | $0.053 | $1.35 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.720 | $1.67 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.160 | $1.78 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Dorothy Semu win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.580 | $1.93 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.920 | $1.95 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.852 | $3 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.