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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $6.41 | +$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 30.6 | $0.327 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $0.45 |
| -$4.55 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $5 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.485 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | sell | 4.47 | $0.986 | $4.41 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Olympique Lyon play in Ligue 1?No | buy | 39.96 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 32.35 | $0.340 | $11 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.140 | $3.8 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 800 | $0.004 | $3.2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 800 | $0.005 | $4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.310 | $2.38 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.890 | $1.21 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Dorothy Semu win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.940 | $1.16 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.52 | $0.053 | $1.35 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.720 | $1.67 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.160 | $1.78 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Dorothy Semu win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | May 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.580 | $1.93 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.920 | $1.95 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 1, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.852 | $3 | May 1, 2025 |