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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 245.24 | $0.652 | $163.08 | +$3.08 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 86.42 | $0.810 | $70 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 131.77 |
| $0.729 |
| $112.66 |
| +$16.66 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 128.54 | $0.677 | $102.83 | +$15.83 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 101.28 | $0.780 | $87.61 | +$8.61 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | No | 103.28 | $0.668 | $82.11 | +$13.11 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 93.02 | $0.860 | $79.53 | -$0.47 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 102.56 | $0.780 | $79.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.700 | $77.5 | +$7.5 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 120 | $0.520 | $70.2 | +$7.8 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 86.43 | $0.810 | $69.14 | -$0.86 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 100.5 | $0.398 | $42.46 | +$2.46 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 63.13 | $0.560 | $29.35 | -$6 |
| buy |
| 29.85 |
| $0.670 |
| $20 |
| 7h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | 7h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 89.88 | $0.880 | $79.09 | 7h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 275.84 | $0.083 | $22.89 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 120 | $0.520 | $62.4 | 8h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 93.02 | $0.860 | $80 | 8h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.56 | $0.780 | $80 | 8h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 9h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 89.89 | $0.890 | $80 | 9h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 275.84 | $0.085 | $23.45 | 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66K | $0.092 | $151.56 | 21h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 735.56 | $0.097 | $71.64 | 21h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 452.58 | $0.110 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 731.89 | $0.132 | $96.61 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 699.21 | $0.031 | $21.9 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 172.61 | $0.470 | $81.13 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 109.39 | $0.640 | $70 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 172.53 | $0.522 | $90 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 233.06 | $0.836 | $194.72 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.398 | $40 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.840 | $40 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 324.24 | $0.617 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 366.49 | $0.952 | $348.92 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 511.41 | $0.098 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 456.88 | $0.109 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 115.73 | $0.922 | $106.76 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 614.53 | $0.179 | $110 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 202.67 | $0.590 | $119.59 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.171 | $195.85 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 270.23 | $0.759 | $205.18 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 335.11 | $0.298 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 515.98 | $0.097 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 341.34 | $0.747 | $255.13 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 67.6 | $0.296 | $20 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 576.07 | $0.868 | $500 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 318.29 | $0.094 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 167.76 | $0.298 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 518.85 | $0.096 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 673.22 | $0.074 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 482.22 | $0.858 | $413.64 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 432.43 | $0.037 | $16 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 444.44 | $0.045 | $20 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 39.9 | $0.950 | $37.9 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 383.78 | $0.036 | $14 | 6d ago |