Analytics
Yes is at 71.5%, down 20 points from 91% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 80.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 80.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
December 31 is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Will Trump pardon anyone by...?”, ahead of October 31 at 21%.
$4.45K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $23.14K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 67 trades, $1.71K bought Yes and $190.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is sunnybank with 566 shares; the largest No position is iForgor with 1K. Ten wallets hold 91.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 91.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iForgor | No | 1.02K |
| sunnybank | Yes | 565.91 |
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 463.87 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-anyone-byptptpt-20261014
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 450.71 |
| hearthstone | Yes | 318.76 |
| Viserys | Yes | 314 |
| from00 | Yes | 112.58 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 67.4 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 58 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
