Analytics
Yes is at 22%, down 27 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 23% on 18 Oct 2026.
October 31 ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Will Trump pardon anyone by...?”. December 31 leads at 71.5%.
$1.66K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $45.59, with a 32.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 102 trades, $276.49 bought Yes and $471.85 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ogi250 with 368 shares; the largest No position is Heskel2 with 319. Ten wallets hold 93.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 22.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ogi250 | Yes | 367.72 |
| Heskel2 | No | 319 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 246.13 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-anyone-byptptpt-20261014
| iForgor |
| No |
| 210 |
| Dunning.Kruger | No | 100 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 60 |
| SakuraDevil | No | 57.19 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 40 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 24 |
| polyweatheryuan | No | 23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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