Analytics
Royal-Dogwood is down $11K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 37.53 | $0.700 | $26.08 | -$0.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 22:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 11:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 11:47 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 22:58 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $12.3K and losing ones cost $21.39K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.45K on “Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $5.55K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 381 markets. Its open positions are worth $476.1 across 86 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.557 |
| $24 |
| -$3.88 |
 Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | No | 50 | $0.465 | $22.25 | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.820 | $20.75 | +$0.25 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | No | 25 | $0.780 | $19.75 | +$0.25 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.760 | $19.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 24.39 | $0.800 | $18.54 | -$0.98 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 24.44 | $0.712 | $17.36 | -$0.06 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 26.76 | $0.530 | $14.05 | -$0.13 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | No | 21.76 | $0.580 | $12.62 | $0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 25 | $0.420 | $10 | -$0.5 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $9.8 | +$0.2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 176.19 | $0.142 | $9.69 | -$15.31 |
 Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | No | 12.5 | $0.830 | $9.63 | -$0.75 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | No | 18.87 | $0.470 | $9.44 | +$0.57 |
| Will Texas have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.890 | $9.14 | -$0.43 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | No | 25 | $0.370 | $8.5 | -$0.75 |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? | Yes | 9.93 | $0.857 | $8.24 | -$0.27 |
 Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10 | $0.790 | $8.15 | +$0.25 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | Yes | 25 | $0.330 | $8.13 | -$0.13 |
 Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 25 | $0.360 | $8.13 | -$0.88 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.330 | $7.75 | -$0.5 |
| Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | Yes | 24.99 | $0.310 | $7.5 | -$0.25 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 19.42 | $0.360 | $7.28 | +$0.29 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
