Analytics
Yes is at 58%, up 30 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
The high was 59.5% on 22 Sep 2026 and the low 28.5% on 21 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 51.5%; a month ago, 47.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 45% on 22 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Bitcoin hit $100k?”.
$4.02K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $23.67K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 94 trades, $1.09K bought Yes and $434.48 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AnGREATern with 1K shares; the largest No position is justdance with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 92.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 5:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 21 Aug 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 28.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| justdance | No | 1.29K |
| AnGREATern | Yes | 1.03K |
| aragog | Yes | 175.44 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-100k
| SuperTests |
| No |
| 159.99 |
| AJSV | No | 135.53 |
| Shabby-Era | Yes | 120.89 |
| resilience26 | No | 100.45 |
| faceglobally | Yes | 92.81 |
| Even-Council | Yes | 66.03 |
| arishone | Yes | 51.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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