
Yes is at 65%, up 25 points from 40% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
The high was 71% on 22 Sep 2026 and the low 40% on 21 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 61.5%; a month ago, 53%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 54.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Bitcoin hit $100k?”.
$6.48K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $22.48K, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 129 trades, $1.3K bought Yes and $1.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is ruhuag with 300 shares; the largest No position is justdance with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 83.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 4:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 21 Aug 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 40.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-100k
| aragog |
| Yes |
| 158.33 |
| xiangui | Yes | 100 |
| tesila165 | Yes | 100 |
| mingmi1 | Yes | 100 |
| fgehua | Yes | 100 |
| hongho | Yes | 100 |
| 67888 | Yes | 96.54 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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