Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $1 |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.040 | $1.67 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.083 | $2.06 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?Yes | buy | 77.31 | $0.026 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Israel extradite Tom Alexandrovich to the US by September 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.010 | $0.27 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.005 | $0.31 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 15% and 20% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Next French confidence vote passes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.950 | $7.6 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.060 | $2.5 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.018 | $0.18 | Aug 28, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC August 26-September 1?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Israel extradite Tom Alexandrovich to the US by September 30?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.038 | $1.03 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Was Kanye hacked?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 22?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.014 | $1.01 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?Yes | buy | 14.5 | $0.070 | $1.02 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.024 | $1.01 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Putin body double in Alaska confirmed by August 31?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.991 | $37.16 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.081 | $2.03 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.933 | $11.66 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney issue a statement about the American Eagle commercial by August 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.046 | $0.46 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Aug 7, 2025 |