Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 81% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2025 to 7 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 81% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 92.5% on 26 Oct 2025. $900.08K traded over the market's life.
243 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 24 Oct 2025 – 7 Nov 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | 81.0% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Populist | No | 20K |
| OuchMyBalls | No | 10K |
| papawilander | No | 7.93K |
| mancamo | No | 7.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion Tesla pay package scheduled for November 6, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla shareholders approve a compensation plan for Elon Musk that is substantially the same as the proposed $1 trillion plan, meaning a performance-based pay structure of comparable scale and scope, designed to grant equity awards worth roughly $1 trillion at full vesting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Minor amendments to the compensation plan that change its total potential value or structure by less than 10% will count. Changes exceeding this threshold will not. If the meeting is rescheduled, this market will remain open until the decision is announced. If the meeting is rescheduled beyond December 31, 2025, permanently canceled, or the decision is otherwise not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla’s investor relations and SEC filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musks-1t-tesla-pay-deal-pass
| Nesterov218 | No | 6.17K |
| trumpismyking | No | 6K |
| RobJJ | No | 5.92K |
| MAGABetter | No | 5.44K |
| claybeijing | No | 5.01K |
| Challenger- | No | 5K |
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