Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2025 to 17 Sep 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 13 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 85 points up, to 92% on 14 Sep 2025. $2.42M traded over the market's life.
196 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 17 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 7.5% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TwoEyes | No | 110K |
| Kal199 | No | 38.29K |
| BowlOfPunch | No | 37.69K |
| looopy1 | No | 33.35K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Tyler Robinson is any gender or sexual orientation other than "straight cisgendered man" by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Robinson, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-is-tyler-robinson-gay
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lethimcookx | No | 32.27K |
| surf | No | 31.09K |
| MrFreeMoney | No | 15.69K |
| Einsteins Apples | No | 15.2K |
| Nancy-Pelosi | No | 13K |
| Pomnit | No | 11.89K |
