Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 15% on 13 Nov 2025. $34.38K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 31.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Geopoliticaleconomyreportalpha | Yes | 928.2 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 405 |
| Defiazog | Yes | 351.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Nicholas J. Fuentes personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Nicholas J. Fuentes weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Nick isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Nicholas J. Fuentes’s professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Nick isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Nicholas J. Fuentes is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-disparage-nick-fuentes-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 257 |
| trapgod | Yes | 250 |
| MrStacknBags | Yes | 248.57 |
| 17688 | Yes | 160.51 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 138 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 107 |
| Tomufa2 | Yes | 99.46 |
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