Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 1h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 265.78 | $0.320 | $35.35 | -$49.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | sell | 386.3 | $0.660 | $254.96 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.220 |
| $9.9 |
| +$5.5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $8.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.35 | $0.107 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.037 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
| sell |
| 32 |
| $0.680 |
| $21.76 |
| Nov 17, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 199 | $0.590 | $117.41 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 158.73 | $0.850 | $134.92 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.180 | $44.95 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.220 | $13.75 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 248.78 | $0.470 | $116.93 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | buy | 1K | $0.070 | $70 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.992 | $55.55 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?No | sell | 280.47 | $0.998 | $279.8 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.560 | $168 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?No | buy | 180.47 | $0.346 | $62.39 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani ParlayYes | sell | 190 | $0.520 | $98.8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | buy | 127.36 | $0.370 | $47.12 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.640 | $96 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.255 | $76.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani ParlayYes | buy | 190 | $0.630 | $119.7 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.740 | $14.23 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.620 | $99.2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 53.07 | $0.900 | $47.77 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.320 | $27.12 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Luigi Mangione mistrial?Yes | sell | 230.41 | $0.118 | $27.09 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 81.98 | $0.610 | $50 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.056 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.319 | $55.75 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?No | buy | 148.83 | $0.067 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.094 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.830 | $141.93 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.574 | $34.46 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | sell | 132.07 | $0.999 | $131.94 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.280 | $15.68 | Sep 11, 2025 |