Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 23% on 21 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 22 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 6.5% on 25 Sep 2025. $95.57K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 21 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | 23.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vityaz | Yes | 6.71K |
| Blunderton | Yes | 1.68K |
| lissartter | Yes | 1.14K |
| SkillzThatKillz | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. court blocks the implementation of any portion of the $100,000 payment requirement for H-1B visa petitions announced in “Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers” (Presidential Proclamation, Sept 19, 2025) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation—e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order—will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-courts-block-trumps-100k-h1b-by-september-30
| Mggm402 | Yes | 417 |
| Nimo8 | Yes | 416.67 |
| Newshound | Yes | 174.99 |
| phonsoswag | Yes | 93.3 |
| Lexius | Yes | 43.48 |
| JimmyJamJam | Yes | 26.32 |
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