Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 21% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 21% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 8.5% on 17 Aug 2025. $17.63K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 26, 2:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 21.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fjossiww | Yes | 327.25 |
| jayG8 | Yes | 225.64 |
| Sailormoon | Yes | 182.18 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 115.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Mistral AI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Apple (Apple inc.) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Mistral AI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple or Mistral AI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-acquire-mistral-by-september-30
| mdhor | Yes | 100.34 |
| nicolay | Yes | 86.48 |
| GeminiHelp | Yes | 73.64 |
| jacoboliver | Yes | 71.43 |
| Jessie | No | 28.14 |
| ElmerT | No | 27.64 |
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