Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.985 | $1.49 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.44 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.13 |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.952 | $2.18 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.760 | $2.76 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | buy | 73.64 | $0.027 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by September 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by September 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.400 | $1.9 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.63 | $0.800 | $3.7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 56.25 | $0.160 | $9 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" this week? (September 1 - 7)No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" this week? (September 1 - 7)No | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?Yes | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.960 | $1.14 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.900 | $8.1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.120 | $1.09 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in August?Yes | buy | 201.93 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in August?Yes | buy | 203.84 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.580 | $7 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |