Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.41K | $0.040 | $285.24 | -$14.76 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 844.5 | $0.060 | $50.67 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.51K |
| $0.080 |
| $188.12 |
| -$11.88 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 1.98K | $0.075 | $154.77 | +$4.77 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.146 | $138.13 | -$11.87 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 1.71K | $0.059 | $75.96 | -$24.04 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 773.93 | $0.097 | $75.46 | +$0.46 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.068 | $74.56 | -$25.44 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 755.49 | $0.099 | $64.22 | -$10.78 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.058 | $57.86 | -$17.14 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 844.5 | $0.060 | $46.45 | -$4.22 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $2.24 | -$7.76 |
| buy |
| 1.29K |
| $0.058 |
| $75 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 755.49 | $0.099 | $75 | 3d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 773.93 | $0.097 | $75 | 3d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.147 | $150 | 3d ago |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.068 | $100 | 3d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.080 | $200 | 3d ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.059 | $100 | 3d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.076 | $150 | 3d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41K | $0.040 | $300 | 3d ago |
 Deel CEO jailed in 2025?Yes | sell | 84.85 | $0.008 | $0.68 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Deel CEO jailed in 2025?Yes | buy | 84.85 | $0.059 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.982 | $35.08 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes | buy | 17.27 | $0.110 | $1.9 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Oregon vs. IowaOregon | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.061 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.120 | $3.24 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | sell | 46.76 | $0.147 | $6.88 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.670 | $51.54 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 434 | $0.030 | $13 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 379.43 | $0.053 | $20 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | buy | 46.76 | $0.642 | $30 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 17, 2025 |