Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.23 | +$0.13 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | May 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.31 |
| $0.064 |
| $1.17 |
| May 21, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.32 | $0.190 | $3.48 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | sell | 36.93 | $0.124 | $4.59 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 28.6 | $0.350 | $10.01 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 11.99 | $0.250 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 22.7 | $0.220 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?No | sell | 25.58 | $0.680 | $17.39 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | buy | 100.34 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 22.35 | $0.680 | $15.2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 91.67 | $0.120 | $11 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 63.53 | $0.016 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.036 | $4 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 137.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by September 30?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.940 | $33.57 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | buy | 36.93 | $0.298 | $11 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Grok 5 released by December 31?No | buy | 25.58 | $0.430 | $11 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 32.42 | $0.648 | $21 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.700 | $25 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Sep 8, 2025 |