Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.210 | $4.64 | -$10.36 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes | buy | 185.05 | $0.811 | $150 | Mar 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 177.08 |
| $0.654 |
| $115.89 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 177.09 | $0.056 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | buy | 86.48 | $0.058 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Bybit insolvent before April?Yes | buy | 515.74 | $0.039 | $20 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 272.62 | $0.018 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?No | buy | 96.3 | $0.052 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 123.79 | $0.081 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |