Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 53.12 | $0.870 | $49.67 | +$3.44 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | sell | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | 16d ago |
|
| No |
| 43.76 |
| $0.914 |
| $41.62 |
| +$1.62 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 17.06 | $0.926 | $15.78 | -$0.02 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $8.85 | -$1.15 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.71 | +$0.71 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.66 | +$0.66 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4.25 | +$0.25 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 4.44 | $0.901 | $4.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 2.18 | $0.917 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
| buy |
| 35.71 |
| $0.140 |
| $5 |
| 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | sell | 19.04 | $0.870 | $16.56 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 21.21 | $0.943 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.930 | $185.99 | 16d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 208.15 | $0.920 | $191.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.920 | $5.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.988 | $5.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.901 | $4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.997 | $3.41 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.973 | $5.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.917 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.992 | $1.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.988 | $7.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.212 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.968 | $3.32 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 384.73 | $0.850 | $327.02 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.950 | $7.12 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.76 | $0.914 | $40 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 160.86 | $0.830 | $133.51 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 134.73 | $0.991 | $133.52 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.925 | $117.09 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 118.99 | $0.984 | $117.09 | Mar 9, 2026 |