Latest trade
Jan 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:47 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
cassandra is down $111.41 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2025-01-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Jan 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:47 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 36 trades covered 29 markets; 83.3% were buys. They run from May 6, 2024 UTC to Jan 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 48.33 | $0.090 | $2.9 | -$1.45 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 48.33 | $0.090 | $4.35 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-01-10 18:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 18:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
36 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 18:47 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-01-10 18:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.09 and losing ones cost $40.5 across 10 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.53 on “Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (No); the largest loss, $20 on “Trump in jail before election day?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Jan 2026. It has traded 29 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.42 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 58.82 |
| $0.170 |
| $1.5 |
| -$8.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $1.5 | -$8.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.35 | -$3.65 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 10.64 |
| $0.094 |
| $1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.63 | $0.188 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.057 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 256.36 | $0.020 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 298.94 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 62.88 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 US civil war before 2027?Yes | buy | 228.27 | $0.088 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.380 | $1.04 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.697 | $5 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.700 | $9.72 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.518 | $11.02 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.520 | $10.83 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.958 | $15.7 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.999 | $17.52 | Aug 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.460 | $1.26 | May 31, 2024 UTC |
 US bank failure by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | May 31, 2024 UTC |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | May 31, 2024 UTC |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 31, 2024 UTC |
 Trump in jail before election day?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
 Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
 Trump convicted of felony before Election?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
| Trump in jail before election day?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | May 6, 2024 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.