Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 57% on 23 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2024 to 30 May 2024, the highest close was 85.5% on 7 Apr 2024 and the lowest 57% on 23 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 74.5% on 30 May 2024. $145.58K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 23 Mar 2024 – 30 May 2024, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2024 | 57.0% |
| 30 May 2024 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former US president Donald J. Trump is convicted of any felony by any US court between March 22, 2024, 10:00 AM ET, and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent appeals will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-convicted-by-election
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| No |
| 1.01K |
| f00 | No | 800 |
| rtdan999 | No | 368.39 |
| quark | No | 333 |
| Tedward | No | 28.57 |
| Curls4dagurls | No | 23.81 |
| xuel | No | 1.56 |
