Latest trade
Oct 28, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:53 AM UTC.
Analytics
lucasrean has made $1.99 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-04-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 28, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:53 AM UTC.
$4 median trade
Its latest 36 trades covered 35 markets; 97.2% were buys. They run from Jan 4, 2025 UTC to Oct 28, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.035 | $4.21 | -$0.79 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-04-06 13:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 11:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
36 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 11:53 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-04-06 13:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $68.27 and losing ones cost $36 across 14 settled positions. 35.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $24.41 on “Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8 on “Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 28 Oct 2025. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.17 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 14.81 |
| $0.270 |
| $2.96 |
| -$1.04 |
| buy |
| 56.18 |
| $0.089 |
| $5 |
| Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 66.3 | $0.045 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.270 | $4 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.999 | $16.64 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will George Russel win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.156 | $2 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 47.17 | $0.021 | $1 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Williams have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?Yes | buy | 52.06 | $0.038 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 China Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 106.37 | $0.019 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
 Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Barcelona win the treble?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Mar 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?Yes | buy | 108.16 | $0.037 | $4 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?No | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | Jan 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek V4 released before May?Yes | buy | 13.78 | $0.363 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 25.88 | $0.340 | $8.8 | Jan 22, 2025 UTC |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 77.67 | $0.103 | $8 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.