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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 23.26 | $0.860 | $21.74 | +$1.74 |
US x China Military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
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| No |
| 22.22 |
| $0.900 |
| $21.32 |
| +$1.32 |
| buy |
| 11.49 |
| $0.870 |
| $10 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.750 | $0.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC | buy | 1.17 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 1.22 | $0.810 | $0.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 16?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.280 | $0.9 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Apr 6, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.925 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionNo | buy | 18.97 | $0.053 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.855 | $15 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Obama divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before May?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.690 | $12 | Jan 26, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Manchester City wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 111.55 | $0.994 | $110.88 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Bulls vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Jazz vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 111.56 | $0.995 | $111 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will 'Elden Ring: Shadow of the Erdtree' win Game of the Year?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Nov 30, 2024 |
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will $NEIRO be listed first on Coinbase?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Nov 20, 2024 |
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Nov 20, 2024 |
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 14, 2024 |
2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Oct 14, 2024 |
Diddy released from custody by Friday?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.955 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?No | sell | 10.02 | $0.996 | $9.98 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Aug 28, 2024 |