
Resolved Yes on 30 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 91% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.4% on 30 Jan 2025 and the low 81.5% on 13 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 92% on 14 Jan 2025. $183.02K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 4:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 4 Jan 2025 – 30 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 91.0% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.74K |
| Winfredo | Yes | 0.03 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.03 |
| eieio | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-january-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Self-Assured-Benefit | Yes | 0.01 |