Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Apr 2026.
$151.44K traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 10:15 PM UTC
No price has been recorded for this market yet, so there is nothing to chart.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| readyplayer6 | No | 2.64K |
| LukeGamma | No | 1.92K |
| Shoddy-Subscription | No | 1.62K |
| Boufelipe | No | 1.13K |
| Internal-Essay | No | 1K |
| Madir888 | No | 1K |
| LukeDelta | No | 990.2 |
| Athletic-Sender | No | 673.96 |
| 881112 | No | 600 |
| TooYoungToWin | No | 519.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon. The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon. -An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means. Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify. Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire. Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-an-israeli-ceasefire-in-lebanon-by-april-30
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