Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 2.78 | $0.997 | $2.77 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.16 |
| $0.950 |
| $1.1 |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will it be confirmed that Luigi Mangione used psychedelics?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.750 | $1.4 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.985 | $2.1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.970 | $2.7 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.999 | $1.49 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Blue Jackets vs. LightningLightning | buy | 0.51 | $0.710 | $0.36 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.920 | $0.63 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Faithless elector in US election?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.640 | $0.39 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?No | buy | 0.77 | $0.674 | $0.52 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.990 | $1.77 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.990 | $2.56 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?Wisconsin | buy | 0.43 | $0.999 | $0.43 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Faithless elector in US election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.340 | $0.68 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.500 | $0.95 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.920 | $0.49 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.740 | $0.84 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?No | buy | 0.49 | $0.740 | $0.36 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.550 | $0.59 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.968 | $0.21 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.946 | $0.04 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.940 | $1.52 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.950 | $0.22 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.956 | $0.21 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.960 | $0.25 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Ansem criminal charges in 2024?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.890 | $0.64 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.914 | $0.24 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?Yes | buy | 0.26 | $0.993 | $0.26 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.930 | $0.21 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 1.58 | $0.530 | $0.84 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.968 | $0.16 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Edmundo González arrested before October?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.920 | $0.24 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 0.48 | $0.860 | $0.41 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 María Corina Machado arrested before October?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.820 | $0.34 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Kamala campaign accepts crypto donations before September?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.978 | $0.52 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US in 2024?No | buy | 0.24 | $0.930 | $0.22 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Ansem criminal charges in 2024?No | buy | 0.73 | $0.880 | $0.64 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 0.29 | $0.896 | $0.26 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?Yes | buy | 0.46 | $0.590 | $0.27 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kenneth Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 200m?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.930 | $0.36 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 348 | $0.005 | $1.74 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.830 | $0.32 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.700 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.968 | $0.26 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.960 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Yes | buy | 0.63 | $0.920 | $0.58 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Stacey Abrams be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 17.27K | $0.001 | $17.27 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Edmundo González arrested before October?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.730 | $0.19 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| María Corina Machado arrested before October?No | buy | 0.42 | $0.670 | $0.28 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.580 | $0.84 | Aug 6, 2024 |