Will it be confirmed that Luigi Mangione used psychedelics?

Resolved

No, settled May 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$44.6K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 69.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 16 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 43.5% on 15 Dec 2024. $44.57K traded over the market's life.

39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 1 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Dec 2024	69.5%
1 May 2025	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
malfboi3	Yes	80
trentlol	Yes	48.59
ttttrader	Yes	45.08

Rules

How this market was settled

Due to Luigi Mangione's Goodreads account and x.com presence, it has been suggested that psychedelic use contributed to his mental instability. (https://edition.cnn.com/2024/12/09/us/luigi-mangione-what-we-know-monday/index.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that Luigi Mangione, the suspect in the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, took psychedelics/hallucinogens one or more times. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Mangione, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Credible reporting consists of outlets such as NYtimes, AP News, etc.