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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.980 | $12.74 | 17d ago |
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| sell |
| 16.8 |
| $0.920 |
| $15.46 |
| 17d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 17d ago |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.951 | $17.12 | 17d ago |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | 17d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.962 | $17.32 | 17d ago |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.961 | $17.3 | 17d ago |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.967 | $17.41 | 17d ago |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 17d ago |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.982 | $17.68 | 17d ago |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | 17d ago |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | 17d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.961 | $18.26 | 17d ago |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.944 | $17.94 | 17d ago |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.998 | $18.96 | 17d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.981 | $18.64 | 17d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 20.54 | $0.976 | $20.05 | 17d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 19.25 | $0.977 | $18.81 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 1.29 | $0.976 | $1.26 | Feb 7, 2026 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.952 | $17.14 | Feb 7, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.910 | $16.38 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.850 | $15.3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.920 | $17.48 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.996 | $18.92 | Jan 30, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.980 | $17.64 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.959 | $5.21 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.984 | $18.7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.982 | $17.68 | Jan 21, 2026 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.946 | $17.03 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.880 | $15.84 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.973 | $18.49 | Jan 15, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.918 | $15.61 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 16.8 | $0.780 | $13.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.970 | $12.61 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.999 | $104.9 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.999 | $108.89 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 103 | $0.997 | $102.69 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.999 | $107.89 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 121 | $0.997 | $120.64 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 120 | $0.997 | $119.64 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.996 | $95.62 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.997 | $111.66 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 108 | $0.993 | $107.24 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.993 | $107.24 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 109 | $0.992 | $108.13 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 109 | $0.988 | $107.69 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 107 | $0.992 | $106.14 | Dec 15, 2025 |