Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 14.5% on 3 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 55.5% on 30 Mar 2025. $1.75M traded over the market's life.
342 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 193.19K |
| TimeTraveler | No | 71.41K |
| xlefgerx | No | 24.63K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) is $3,200.00 per troy ounce or greater as of the final market close price in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-gold-close-at-in-2025
| Hearty-Couch | No | 3.39K |
| Bright Vector 52C1 | No | 1.99K |
| coinfun | No | 1.46K |
| csct | No | 1K |
| CernatWorldCup/MSI | No | 999.99 |
| clnsen | No | 976.93 |
| EZREAL | No | 911.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
