Latest trade
Mar 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:54 PM UTC.
arnem is down $124.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:54 PM UTC.
$4 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Jul 28, 2025 UTC to Mar 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 57.19 | $0.175 | $1.63 | -$8.37 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.470 | $7.23 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-01 14:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 19:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 19:54 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-01 14:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $29.28 and losing ones cost $33.27 across 18 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.58 on “Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.62 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 1 Mar 2026. It has traded 37 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.63 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 21.44 |
| $0.500 |
| $10.72 |
| Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 10.88 | $0.979 | $10.65 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.880 | $3.58 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.170 | $3.15 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump say "NATO" during CNBC interview?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump say "Denmark" during NewsNation interview?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during NewsNation interview?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during NewsNation interview?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 10.88 | $0.919 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.420 | $2.53 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 50.72 | $0.050 | $2.54 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50.73 | $0.220 | $11.16 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 57.19 | $0.175 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 139.09 | $0.011 | $1.53 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 295.45 | $0.011 | $3.25 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 13.92 | $0.110 | $1.53 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.42 | $0.100 | $1.14 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.56 | $0.061 | $2.11 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24.9 | $0.670 | $16.68 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
US recession in 2025?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.930 | $16.6 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.670 | $7 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Sep 16, 2025 UTC |
US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4 | Sep 16, 2025 UTC |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 18.75 | $0.360 | $6.75 | Sep 16, 2025 UTC |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.320 | $6 | Sep 5, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 16.07 | $0.410 | $6.59 | Sep 5, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during September?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | Aug 23, 2025 UTC |
Will MrBeast say Insane during next video?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Aug 23, 2025 UTC |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | Aug 23, 2025 UTC |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 21.5 | $0.400 | $8.6 | Aug 23, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.57 | $0.116 | $4 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.89 | $0.991 | $7.82 | Aug 14, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.011 | $0.16 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.310 | $7 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.330 | $7.33 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 13.93 | $0.280 | $3.9 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.