Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 86.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 94.5% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 77% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 78.5% on 25 Dec 2025. $1.93M traded over the market's life.
343 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 86.5% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire. If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-alex-honnold-free-solo-taipei-101
| Frail-Trunk | No | 14.59K |
| Dependent-Netsuke | No | 13.35K |
| mndsr | No | 10K |
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | No | 9.43K |
| trader-alvin | No | 9.07K |
| Amber Atlas 9122 | No | 8.72K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
