Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.019 | $5.89 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 58.44 |
| $0.086 |
| $5 |
| Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.009 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.015 | $15.49 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.014 | $22.99 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 X Money launch in 2025?No | sell | 150 | $0.153 | $23 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.660 | $16.92 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.997 | $11.72 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 90.27 | $0.991 | $89.46 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before August?Yes | buy | 164.18 | $0.067 | $11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?Yes | buy | 75.86 | $0.132 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | sell | 43.48 | $0.890 | $38.7 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 91.46 | $0.974 | $89.08 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 44.11 | $0.905 | $39.94 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.960 | $10.18 | May 30, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.12 | $0.200 | $8.82 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?No | buy | 57.89 | $0.190 | $11 | May 12, 2025 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.11 | $0.256 | $11.29 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 74.93 | $0.080 | $6 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?Yes | sell | 136.74 | $0.022 | $3.01 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?Yes | sell | 136.74 | $0.026 | $3.59 | May 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.009 | $1.5 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?No | buy | 73.91 | $0.230 | $17 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.410 | $17.8 | May 1, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 70.59 | $0.170 | $12 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?No | buy | 68 | $0.150 | $10.2 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?No | buy | 81.6 | $0.245 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 140.77 | $0.142 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.117 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.090 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.03 | $0.394 | $15 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?Yes | buy | 773.27 | $0.032 | $25 | May 1, 2025 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | May 1, 2025 |
| X Money launch in 2025?No | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?Yes | buy | 41.62 | $0.048 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.012 | $1.39 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 90.28 | $0.111 | $10 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 316.66 | $0.032 | $10 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 514.6 | $0.078 | $40 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | sell | 12.93 | $0.800 | $10.34 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 22.02 | $0.250 | $5.51 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?Yes | buy | 273.49 | $0.018 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 88.1 | $0.091 | $8 | Apr 23, 2025 |