Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 4 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 16.5% on 2 Jan 2025. $915.14K traded over the market's life.
417 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 193.19K |
| Hearty-Couch | Yes | 26.77K |
| Cruzpower | Yes | 8.33K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) is less than $2,500.00 per troy ounce as of the final market close price in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-gold-close-at-in-2025
| bigfishfisherman | Yes | 5.97K |
| rcwarner | Yes | 5K |
| satoshi2672 | Yes | 4.39K |
| acgk.eth | Yes | 4K |
| Ready-Update | Yes | 3.74K |
| lucasd10 | Yes | 3.5K |
| xlefgerx | Yes | 3.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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