Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 1 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 8.5% on 1 May 2025 and the low 0.1% on 29 Jul 2025. $257.41K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 1 May 2025 – 30 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | 8.5% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 107.99K |
| 0x00000000 | Yes | 20K |
| ghvgh | Yes | 4K |
| bithold | Yes | 3.7K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2025 scheduled for July 30, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2025
| Zighy | Yes | 3.07K |
| pmhv | Yes | 1.83K |
| JoE | Yes | 1.62K |
| Grugal | Yes | 1.5K |
| robindhood | Yes | 1K |
| OmniStrat | Yes | 495 |
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