Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 7 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 16% on 7 Jun 2025 and the low 0.2% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points up, to 8.6% on 4 Jul 2025. $96.23K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 56 points · 7 Jun 2025 – 1 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Turukano | Yes | 1.55K |
| KelvynRoyuil | Yes | 1.38K |
| Ishhy | Yes | 1.26K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 1.02K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is any rank other than #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at any point between June 5, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If this source becomes permanently unavailable in that time period, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If both sources become permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-no-longer-worlds-richest-before-august
New to prediction markets?
| alternativelog | Yes | 959.6 |
| Dabusi | Yes | 375.55 |
| jaya2 | Yes | 326 |
| cantbeatb | Yes | 254.33 |
| Anjun | Yes | 222 |
| Positive-Newsstand | Yes | 199.82 |
