Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
parameter1 has made $1.02K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 288.96 | $0.216 | $193.61 | +$131.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 22:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 00:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 00:25 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 1,632 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.59K across 139 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 217.4 |
| $0.624 |
| $184.25 |
| +$48.53 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 190.31 | $0.736 | $168.9 | +$28.9 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 194.42 | $0.460 | $166.62 | +$77.18 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 154.85 | $0.904 | $150.51 | +$10.51 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 136.92 | $0.862 | $128.84 | +$10.84 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 131.11 | $0.839 | $114.07 | +$4.07 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $103.85 | +$3.85 |
| Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? | No | 103.08 | $0.873 | $96.07 | +$6.07 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | No | 124.83 | $0.150 | $95.56 | +$76.8 |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027? | No | 97.35 | $0.883 | $94.62 | +$8.62 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | No | 95.24 | $0.840 | $91.24 | +$11.24 |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 91.05 | $0.796 | $89.55 | +$17.05 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 93.25 | $0.796 | $79.73 | +$5.52 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 84.94 | $0.870 | $78.61 | +$4.71 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 82.59 | $0.902 | $76.4 | +$1.91 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 78.01 | $0.641 | $73.37 | +$23.37 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 75.48 | $0.795 | $71.97 | +$11.97 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 69.06 | $0.724 | $64.71 | +$14.71 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 75.34 | $0.796 | $62.15 | +$2.15 |
 Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026? | No | 78.57 | $0.764 | $62.07 | +$2.07 |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 61.86 | $0.762 | $58.77 | +$11.6 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? | No | 58.82 | $0.850 | $58.5 | +$8.5 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 62.74 | $0.590 | $58.34 | +$21.34 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | No | 73.53 | $0.680 | $56.99 | +$6.99 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
