Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | 209.05 | $0.140 | $9.83 | -$19.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 530 | $0.006 | $3.18 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 268.74 |
| $0.190 |
| $8.2 |
| -$42.8 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 249.52 | $0.132 | $7.86 | -$25.14 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $6.7 | -$13.3 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 375 | $0.080 | $6.19 | -$23.81 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 729.52 | $0.041 | $5.11 | -$24.89 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 82.83 | $0.097 | $3.93 | -$4.07 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 8.36 | $0.598 | $1.38 | -$3.62 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.010 | $0.73 | +$0.23 |
| sell |
| 62.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $10 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.124 | $10.31 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 77.3 | $0.180 | $13.91 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes | sell | 46.48 | $0.260 | $12.08 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.237 | $30 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.380 | $3.87 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 27.1 | $0.014 | $0.38 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.705 | $5.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.600 | $5.77 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.495 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.588 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.88 | $0.421 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.013 | $1.3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.616 | $7.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.089 | $1.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.026 | $2.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 85.71 | $0.090 | $7.71 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.041 | $1.24 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No | buy | 13.4 | $0.730 | $9.78 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No | buy | 18.16 | $0.530 | $9.62 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.367 | $1.77 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.110 | $0.67 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.450 | $1.55 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 192.57 | $0.104 | $20.06 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 51.72 | $0.724 | $37.43 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.013 | $0.02 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.990 | $2.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.600 | $0.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 - April 5 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.635 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.380 | $0.58 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.361 | $2.91 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.886 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |