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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 17.77 | $0.844 | $7.26 | -$7.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 17.77 | $0.844 | $15 | Jun 2, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 18.07 |
| $0.830 |
| $6.78 |
| -$8.22 |
| buy |
| 18.07 |
| $0.830 |
| $15 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.068 | $9.71 | Jun 2, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 30.46 | $0.220 | $6.7 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 162.26 | $0.510 | $82.75 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 114.19 | $0.520 | $59.38 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 33.74 | $0.570 | $19.23 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.79 | $0.739 | $21.27 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.680 | $18.88 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.79 | $0.776 | $22.33 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 30.46 | $0.328 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 163.68 | $0.012 | $1.96 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 33.74 | $0.593 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 27.38 | $0.731 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes | buy | 105.49 | $0.237 | $25 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.97 | $0.865 | $19 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 163.69 | $0.122 | $20 | Jun 4, 2025 |
US defaults on debt in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.031 | $50 | Jun 4, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.15 | $0.273 | $18.58 | Jun 4, 2025 |