Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 85% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 259 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 18 Sep 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 53% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 92.5% on 21 Feb 2026. $252.06K traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 12:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 259 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 18 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 85.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dependent-Perspective | No | 4.07K |
| thisismyusername22 | No | 3.23K |
| bm62 | No | 2.5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-iphone-18-in-2026
| 27kgfdogodgfg | No | 2K |
| Buoyant-Facility | No | 1.31K |
| Artiecasas | No | 1.15K |
| SamTrems | No | 950 |
| Tiny-Solidity-Reservation | No | 835.61 |
| sobbi | No | 629 |
| burgercheez | No | 522.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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