Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 7 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 361 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2025 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 16.7% on 19 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 1.4% on 3 May 2025. $8.07M traded over the market's life.
623 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 361 points, 7 Mar 2025 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 80.66K |
| Stryka | Yes | 35.2K |
| 1713888952017 | Yes | 31.63K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gta-6-cost-100
| Gruesome-Form | Yes | 27.33K |
| Sardonic-Thyme | Yes | 26.1K |
| Essential-Freight | Yes | 23.88K |
| Kidu90 | Yes | 23.82K |
| Amber Beacon 9007 | Yes | 21.5K |
| Tristan18 | Yes | 21.44K |
| Vague-Quality | Yes | 20.94K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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