Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 19 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 195 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 4.3% on 7 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jun 2025. $1.47M traded over the market's life.
551 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 195 points, 19 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2024 | 3.3% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neverloseok | Yes | 16.46K |
| Dynch | Yes | 10.56K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 5.65K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Canada is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between December 17, 2024, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Canadian land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-as-51st-us-state-by-before-july
| Thromb867 | Yes | 4.51K |
| CosmicWanderer12 | Yes | 3.55K |
| MissingNo | Yes | 3.43K |
| Ersamusisgay | Yes | 2.36K |
| micheldenostredame | Yes | 2.08K |
| yyWER | Yes | 2K |
| MrStar | Yes | 1.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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