Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 3 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2025 to 5 Jun 2025, the highest close was 30% on 5 Jun 2025 and the lowest 17% on 4 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 30% on 5 Jun 2025. $501.11K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Jun 2025 – 5 Jun 2025, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2025 | 18.5% |
| 5 Jun 2025 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DogWhisperer | No | 57.99K |
| digital | No | 10.85K |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 3.16K |
| justwinit | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Elon Musk personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between June 2, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Musk weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname or use of other derogatory language. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. Any public statement made by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-publicly-disparage-elon-before-july
New to prediction markets?
| ChickenMan | No | 1K |
| Markronson | No | 357.5 |
| Lennji | No | 284.28 |
| FrankA | No | 215 |
| Bold-Attachment | No | 200 |
| bluekenny | No | 132.32 |
