Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.96 | $0.920 | $11.51 | +$0.51 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.992 |
| $1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.920 | $11 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.815 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.6 | $0.948 | $11 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.900 | $1.3 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be above $6.00 in May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 10.51 | $0.973 | $10.23 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.966 | $1.3 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will USD0++ stabilize again before February?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.927 | $1.2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 0.57 | $0.530 | $0.3 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.940 | $1.7 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | buy | 0.54 | $0.930 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.980 | $1.2 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?Yes | sell | 11.16 | $0.070 | $0.78 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.840 | $0.6 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will threadguy interview Trump before October?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.800 | $0.2 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.900 | $0.5 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.969 | $0.3 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?No | buy | 0.32 | $0.949 | $0.3 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.22 | $0.890 | $0.2 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 0.5 | $0.996 | $0.5 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison sentenced to 12-23 months in prison?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.840 | $0.3 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to 1-11 months in prison?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.770 | $0.2 | Sep 15, 2024 |