Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?

Resolved

Yes, settled Oct 8, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$588.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 8, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 8 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 40% on 10 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2024 to 8 Oct 2024, the highest close was 100% on 8 Oct 2024 and the lowest 40% on 10 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 82.5% on 12 Sep 2024. $588.26K traded over the market's life.

78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 11:10 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 10 Sep 2024 – 8 Oct 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Sep 2024	40.0%
8 Oct 2024	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	201.31K
MrHoover	No	1.31K
FronkCartel	No	1.26K
tonyclifton420	No	1.09K

10 of 78 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on how much 'Joker: Folie à Deux' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11315808/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Joker: Folie à Deux' (2024) grosses less than $105,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.