Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 17 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 21% on 18 Nov 2024. $427K traded over the market's life.
189 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 8.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 111.29K |
| JerryLiuMY | Yes | 1.9K |
| Zoranporan | Yes | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the projected closing price of gold at the end of the year 2024.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-gold-close-at-in-2024
| Yes |
| 773.66 |
| MeloMac | Yes | 600.74 |
| kali19 | Yes | 584.7 |
| phroge | Yes | 578.81 |
| LarryPeng | Yes | 476.19 |
| ryanflores | Yes | 376.67 |
| Gamjafriend | Yes | 342.43 |
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